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Spotting the black swan: why emergency medicine is ahead of the curve
  1. Damian Roland1,2
  1. 1 SAPPHIRE Group, Health Sciences, Leicester University, Leicester, UK
  2. 2 Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) Group, Children’s Emergency Department, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester, UK
  1. Correspondence to Damian Roland, Paediatric Emergency Medicine Leicester Academic (PEMLA) group, Children’s Emergency Department, Leicester Royal Infirmary, Leicester LE1 5WW, UK; dr98{at}le.ac.uk

Abstract

"Black Swans", originally described as an economic theory, are unexpected events whose potential to occur only becomes apparent after they have happened. The concept is very relevant to the practice of Emergency Medicine and this article explores how black swans impact on emergency care and how staff unconsciously aim to mitigate against them.

  • Cognition
  • Decision Making
  • Black Swans
  • Emergency Care
  • Emergency Medicine

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Footnotes

  • Competing interests None declared.

  • Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; internally peer reviewed.

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