Table 5

Univariate and multivariate predictors of hospital mortality

VariableUnivariate95% CIp ValueMultivariate95% CIp Value
OROR*
Total cohort1.00†
Temperature Fever >38°C0.9970.849 to 1.480.414
Temperature <36°C1.240.896 to 1.730.190
RR ≥301.791.34 to 2.38<0.0011.431.28 to 2.27<0.001
Nausea/vomiting1.740.566 to 0.9630.026
Lactate>4 mmol/L1.801.77 to 3.00<0.0011.631.10 to 2.89<0.001
Circulatory compromise2.011.51 to 2.70<0.0011.781.34 to 2.75<0.001
Severe sepsis identified at triage0.8120.697 to 0.9460.0070.8910.776 to 947<0.007
Not identified at triage1.201.05 to 1.430.007
ATS 11.711.21 to 2.410.0021.551.09 to 2.35<0.005
ATS 21.040.804 to 1.350.061
ATS 30.1420.103 to 0.194<0.0010.1670.118 to 0.245<0.001
ATS 40.0840.061 to 0.115<0.0010.0880.060 to 0.118<0.001
Appropriate antimicrobial administration‡0.8380.434 to 1.720.086
  • No deaths registered for ATS category 5—omitted.

  • LR χ2 (8 df)=219.92, p<0.000, Hosmer–Lemeshow, p=0.297. C statistic=0.776.

  • *Backwards stepwise multivariate logistic regression adjusted for age, SOFA score, APACHE II score and shock.

  • †Reference value hospital mortality 29%.

  • ‡In the emergency department.

  • ATS, Australasian Triage Scale at emergency department Triage; LR, Likelihood ratio.