Table 8

Cross-validation analysis of Models 1 and 2

Performance of mTRISS Models 1 and 2 with coefficients derived from QEH dataset
Model 1*Model 2†
ROC analysis3-fold (average)Full dataset3-fold (average)Full dataset
Sensitivity %97.697.597.397.3
Specificity %51.352.048.848.9
Accuracy %91.691.691.091.1
Area under the ROC (95% CI)0.931 (0.916 to 0.947)0.932 (0.923 to 0.940)0.919 (0.901 to 0.936)0.920 (0.910 to 0.930)
  • The performance on PS in Model 1 and Model 2 based on the coefficients derived from the threefold cross-validation and that derived from the full dataset were compared using the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and area under the ROC curve.

  • *Age=scale variable.

  • †Age into two groups (0–54, 55+) that is, MTOS TRISS with application of QEH dataset-derived coefficients.

  • Full dataset, performance measures derived from full local dataset of QEH; MTOS, Major Trauma Outcome Study; ROC, Receiver operator characteristic; QEH, The Queen Elizabeth Hospital; TRISS, Trauma and Injury Severity Score; threefold (average), average performance measures derived from threefold cross-validation statistics.