You are here

  • Home
  • Archive
  • Volume 26, Issue 7
  • Predicting admission and mortality with the Emergency Severity Index and the Manchester Triage System: a retrospective observational study

Article Text

Article menu
Download PDFPDF
Original Article
Predicting admission and mortality with the Emergency Severity Index and the Manchester Triage System: a retrospective observational study
  1. I van der Wulp,
  2. A J P Schrijvers,
  3. H F van Stel
  1. Public Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands
  1. Ms I van der Wulp, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, P O Box 85500, 3508 GA Utrecht, The Netherlands; i.vanderwulp{at}umcutrecht.nl

Abstract

Objective: To compare the degree to which the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) and the Manchester Triage System (MTS) predict admission and mortality.

Methods: A retrospective observational study of four emergency department (ED) databases was conducted. Patients who presented to the ED between 1 January and 18 July 2006 and were triaged with the ESI or MTS were included in the study.

Results: 37 974 patients triaged with the ESI and 34 258 patients triaged with the MTS were included. The likelihood of admission decreased significantly with urgency categories in both populations, and was greater for patients triaged with the ESI than with the MTS. Mortality rates were low in both populations. Most patients who died were triaged in the most urgent triage categories of both systems.

Conclusion: Both the ESI and MTS predicted admission well. The ESI was a better predictor of admission than the MTS. Mortality is associated with urgency categories of both triage systems.

https://doi.org/10.1136/emj.2008.063768

Statistics from Altmetric.com

    Request Permissions

    If you wish to reuse any or all of this article please use the link below which will take you to the Copyright Clearance Center’s RightsLink service. You will be able to get a quick price and instant permission to reuse the content in many different ways.

    View Full Text

    Footnotes

    • Competing interests: None.

    • Ethics approval: The protocol was approved by the Medical Ethical Committee of the University Medical Center Utrecht.