Table 1

Factors influencing number of patients awaiting admission at 0700 and 1700

Variable		0700								1700
Variable		Rate ratio		SE		p		95% CI		Rate ratio		SE		P		95% CI
*Lag 1 day. CI, Charlson index.
Day
2		1.55		0.060		<0.001		1.44 to 1.68		1.52		0.060		0.000		1.40 to 1.64
3		1.86		0.069		<0.001		1.73 to 2.0		1.79		0.069		0.000		1.65 to 1.93
4		1.73		0.065		<0.001		1.60,1.86		1.68		0.065		0.000		1.56 to 1.81
5		1.56		0.060		<0.001		1.45 to 1.69		1.54		0.060		0.000		1.43 to 1.66
6		1.32		0.051		<0.001		1.22 to 1.44		1.25		0.051		0.000		1.16 to 1.36
7		1.11		0.046		0.011		1.03 to 1.21		1.09		0.046		0.033		1.01 to 1.19
Month
1		1.0								1.0
2		0.87		0.03		<0.001		0.80 to 0.93		0.87		0.034		0.001		0.81 to 0.94
3		0.75		0.030		<0.001		0.70 to 0.81		0.76		0.030		0.000		0.70 to 0.82
4		0.61		0.026		<0.001		0.56 to 0.66		0.62		0.026		0.000		0.56 to 0.669
5		0.64		0.027		<0.001		0.59 to 0.70		0.65		0.027		0.000		0.60 to 0.70
6		0.67		0.028		<0.001		0.62 to 0.73		0.67		0.028		0.000		0.62 to 0.73
7		0.52		0.023		<0.001		0.48 to 0.57		0.53		0.023		0.000		0.48 to 0.57
8		0.48		0.023		<0.001		0.44 to 0.53		0.49		0.023		0.000		0.45 to 0.54
9		0.48		0.022		<0.001		0.44 to 0.52		0.48		0.022		0.000		0.44 to 0.53
10		0.59		0.025		<0.001		0.54 to 0.64		0.59		0.026		0.000		0.54 to 0.64
11		1.07		0.043		0.101		0.99 to 1.16		1.06		0.044		0.134		0.98 to 1.154
12		0.50		0.026		<0.001		0.45 to 0.55		0.50		0.026		0.000		0.454 to 0.56
Sum CI*		1.005		0.0020		0.002		1.002 to 1.008		1.01		0.0015		0.000		1.00 to 1.01
Consultant group
1		1.0								1.0
2		0.98		0.028		0.561		0.93 to 1.04		0.99		0.028		0.646		0.93 to 1.04
3		1.03		0.027		0.270		0.978 to 1.08		1.03		0.027		0.266		0.978 to 1.08
4		0.98		0.028		0.510		0.93 to 1.04		0.98		0.028		0.576		0.93 to 1.04
% >70*		1.0		0.0007		0.654		0.998 to 1.001		0.82		0.101		0.114		0.65 to 1.05