Explanations identified for unexpected survival
| Response to treatment | Responded well to antibiotics and medical treatment |
| Successful medical treatment | |
| Early access to consultant surgeon, well monitored, intravenous fluids, antibiotics and insulin early on | |
| Died after 7 days | Responded to medical treatment but then died 2 weeks later |
| Care of dying pathway initiated, discharged to nursing home where he died 2 weeks later | |
| Dies on day 11 | |
| Died 12 days after admission | |
| Died 8 days later | |
| Died 9 days later | |
| In hospital for 6 weeks and then died 4 months after admission | |
| In hospital for 4 months. Subsequently died 2 months after discharge | |
| Patient died 2 months later | |
| Responded to medical treatment. Subsequently died 3 months after admission | |
| Unclear | Unclear. Limited therapy instituted consisting of oxygen, antibiotics and fluids |
| Unclear. Limited treatment given with agreement of family | |
| Poor model prediction | Model prediction of death based on relatively minor derangements of blood variables |
| Variables in the model altered by his particular presentation (infective exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) and hence the likelihood of death ‘overstated’ |