Table 2

Comparison of THERM and NEWS (n=234)

THERMNEWS
AUROC0.84 (0.79 to 0.88)*0.71 (0.64 to 0.76)
High risk cut-off
 Sensitivity0.57 (0.40 to 0.73)0.65 (0.48 to 0.80)
 Specificity0.89 (0.84 to 0.93)*0.71 (0.64 to 0.77)
 LR+5.322.2
 LR−0.480.5
 PPV0.50 (0.34 to 0.66)0.29 (0.20 to 0.40)
 NPV0.92 (0.87 to 0.95)0.91 (0.86 to 0.95)
Medium risk cut-off
 Sensitivity0.89 (0.75 to 0.97)0.92 (0.78 to 0.98)
 Specificity0.65 (0.58 to 0.72)*0.44 (0.37 to 0.51)
 LR+2.551.65
 LR−0.170.18
 PPV0.32 (0.23 to 0.42)0.24 (0.17 to 0.31)
 NPV0.97 (0.92 to 0.99)0.97 (0.91 to 0.99)
  • All figures are given as fractions (95% CIs).

  • *Significant difference.

  • AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; NEWS, National Early Warning Score; LR, likelihood ratio; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; THERM, The Resuscitation Management score.