Univariate and multivariate predictors of hospital mortality
Variable | Univariate | 95% CI | p Value | Multivariate | 95% CI | p Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR | OR* | |||||
Total cohort | 1.00† | |||||
Temperature Fever >38°C | 0.997 | 0.849 to 1.48 | 0.414 | – | – | – |
Temperature <36°C | 1.24 | 0.896 to 1.73 | 0.190 | – | – | – |
RR ≥30 | 1.79 | 1.34 to 2.38 | <0.001 | 1.43 | 1.28 to 2.27 | <0.001 |
Nausea/vomiting | 1.74 | 0.566 to 0.963 | 0.026 | – | – | – |
Lactate>4 mmol/L | 1.80 | 1.77 to 3.00 | <0.001 | 1.63 | 1.10 to 2.89 | <0.001 |
Circulatory compromise | 2.01 | 1.51 to 2.70 | <0.001 | 1.78 | 1.34 to 2.75 | <0.001 |
Severe sepsis identified at triage | 0.812 | 0.697 to 0.946 | 0.007 | 0.891 | 0.776 to 947 | <0.007 |
Not identified at triage | 1.20 | 1.05 to 1.43 | 0.007 | – | ||
ATS 1 | 1.71 | 1.21 to 2.41 | 0.002 | 1.55 | 1.09 to 2.35 | <0.005 |
ATS 2 | 1.04 | 0.804 to 1.35 | 0.061 | – | – | – |
ATS 3 | 0.142 | 0.103 to 0.194 | <0.001 | 0.167 | 0.118 to 0.245 | <0.001 |
ATS 4 | 0.084 | 0.061 to 0.115 | <0.001 | 0.088 | 0.060 to 0.118 | <0.001 |
Appropriate antimicrobial administration‡ | 0.838 | 0.434 to 1.72 | 0.086 | – |
No deaths registered for ATS category 5—omitted.
LR χ2 (8 df)=219.92, p<0.000, Hosmer–Lemeshow, p=0.297. C statistic=0.776.
*Backwards stepwise multivariate logistic regression adjusted for age, SOFA score, APACHE II score and shock.
†Reference value hospital mortality 29%.
‡In the emergency department.
ATS, Australasian Triage Scale at emergency department Triage; LR, Likelihood ratio.