Table 1

Sensitivity Analysis

ModelAUROC (95% CIs)Sensitivity (95% CIs)Specificity (95% CIs)Under-triage (1-Sens)Over-triage (1-PPV)
MPTT0.646 (0.642–0.650)58.1% (57.5–58.7%)71.2% (70.9–71.4%)41.9%67.0%
Military Sieve (MS)0.613 (0.609–0.617)29.0% (28.4–29.5%)93.7% (93.5–93.8%)71.0%47.2%
Modified Military Sieve (MMS)0.633 (0.629–0.637)37.3% (36.7–37.9%)89.4% (89.2–89.6%)62.7%53.8%
Triage Sieve (TS)0.550 (0.546–0.554)13.6% (13.2–14.0%)96.4% (96.3–96.5%)86.4%52.1%
START (ST)0.618 (0.614–0.622)29.6% (29.0–30.2%)94.0% (93.8–94.1%)70.4%45.5%
Careflight (CF)0.599 (0.595–0.603)24.1% (23.6–24.7%)95.7% (95.6–95.8%)75.9%42.1%
  • MPTT: 12<RR >= 22, HR >= 100, GCS<14. MS: 10<RR>30, HR>120, GCS<13. MMS: 12<RR>24, 40<HR>120, GCS<13. TS: 10<RR>30, HR>120. ST: RR >= 30, SBP<90, GCS<13. CF: SBP<90, GCS<13.