Elsevier

International Journal of Cardiology

Volume 168, Issue 2, 30 September 2013, Pages 1402-1409
International Journal of Cardiology

Predictors of cardiac death in patients with coronary chronic total occlusion not revascularized by PCI

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2012.12.044Get rights and content

Abstract

Background

Limited data are available on clinical outcome of patients with previously failed or not attempted chronic total occlusion (CTO) recanalization by percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). The aim of the study is to determine prevalence and predictors of cardiac death in patients with CTO not revascularized by PCI.

Methods

Double-center study analyzing data of 1.345 consecutive patients with at least one CTO between 1998 and 2008. Of these, 847 patients were successfully revascularized (Revascularized group) and 498 patients were not revascularized (Not revascularized group) either due to failure of CTO-PCI (n = 337) or because no attempt was made (n = 161).

Results

At 4-year clinical follow-up, Not revascularized patients had a significantly higher rate of cardiac mortality (8.5% vs. 2.5%, p < 0.0001) and sudden cardiac death (2.7% vs. 0.5%, p = 0.001) compared to those Revascularized. The separate adjusted Cox-model analysis made for Not revascularized patients showed the most significant independent predictors of cardiac death were: chronic renal failure [HR (CI), 6.0 (2.66–13.80)], low-LVEF [5.7 (2.84–11.58)], insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (IDDM) 4.6 [(1.96–10.97)]. In the Revascularized group, the presence of 3-vessel disease was the only significant independent predictor of cardiac death [4.4 (1.40–13.70)].

Conclusions

CTO patients Not revascularized had a significant higher rate of cardiac mortality and sudden cardiac death compared to those Revascularized. Within Not revascularized patients, the presence of low-LVEF, or CRF or IDDM was associated with an incidence of cardiac death at least 4 times higher than those without the same risk factors.

Introduction

Coronary chronic total occlusions (CTO) remain a technical challenge and an unresolved clinical dilemma, even in the presence of numerous successes and rapid progression within the field of interventional cardiology. Approximately, 15–30% of all coronary angiograms performed in patients with significant coronary artery disease demonstrate evidence of a CTO,[1], [2] but percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for these lesions accounts for only 10–15% of all PCI activity [1], [3]. As shown by previous studies, [4], [5] the rationale behind CTO revascularization is that of improved survival and quality of life [5], [6], [7], [8], [9], [10], [11], [12], [13]. However, still 20–35% of occlusions are not recanalized by PCI even if performed by experienced operators [5], [11] and more than 40% are not attempted and treated with either medical therapy or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery [1], [14], [15]. Currently, there is no evidence regarding which category of patients have more benefit from CTO revascularization and conversely, which subgroups of not revascularized patients are at more risk of future cardiac events. Therefore, the current study aimed to evaluate the long-term survival of patients with a CTO, stratified by Revascularized or Not revascularized in order to identify the patients at major risk of cardiac death.

Section snippets

Population

Between January 1998 and March 2008, all consecutive patients who were referred for coronary angiography at San Raffaele Hospital and at EMO-GVM Centro Cuore Columbus, Milan, Italy, were analyzed. The indications for PCI in the presence of CTO were symptomatic myocardial ischemia or evidence of viable myocardium in the territory of the occluded artery (demonstrated either by echocardiography stress test, nuclear medicine or cardiac magnetic resonance imaging). The decision to perform PCI versus

Results

From January 1998 to March 2008, a total of 9.789 consecutive patients were referred to San Raffaele Hospital or to GVM-EMO Centro Cuore Columbus in Milan for coronary angiography and 1.976 (20%) showed at least one occluded coronary vessel. From the total cohort of patients, 1.345 matched the inclusion and exclusion criteria for CTO and were included in the final analysis (Fig. 1). Of these, 847 patients (63%) were successfully recanalized (Revascularized CTO patients) and 498 patients (37%)

Main findings

In this work, we observed that patients with CTO Not revascularized have a cardiac mortality and sudden cardiac death rate significantly higher than those Revascularized. Within the group of Not revascularized patients, the presence of low-LVEF, or CRF or IDDM was associated with an incidence of cardiac death at least 4 times higher than those without the same risk factors. Among Revascularized patients, those with 3-vessel disease had the worst outcome. Finally, between CTO-PCI failed and

Study limitations

In this study findings are derived from a non-randomized double-center study and not from a prospective clinical multicentre study, but the total patient cohort considered was large and regularly followed for an extensive time span. Furthermore, unlike those with a failed recanalization or not attempted CTO, the group with a successful recanalization incorporating stent implantation was treated with additional anti-platelet medical therapy such as clopidogrel or ticlopidine, which could be a

Conclusions

In conclusion, this study shows that in CTO patients Not revascularized the incidences of cardiac death and sudden death were almost 4 and 5 times greater, respectively, compared to those Revascularized. Moreover, within the group of Not revascularized patients, the presence of low-LVEF, or CRF or IDDM was associated with an incidence of cardiac death at least 4 times higher than those without the same risk factors. Therefore, the results suggest that for CTO patients it would be more

Acknowledgment

The authors would like to thank M. Ferraro and A. Amato (EMO GVM Centro Cuore Columbus) for the given support for database management and clinical data collection.

References (29)

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    An observational study (41) of the survivors of ventricular arrhythmias who received implantable cardioverter-defibrillator implantation revealed higher incidence of appropriate implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapies in the patients with CTO than in those without CTO during a median follow-up of 4 years. Other large observational studies with long-term follow-up (42,43) of the patients who had CTO lesions revealed that patients whose CTO was revascularized by coronary intervention had a significantly lower rate of cardiac mortality and of sudden cardiac death than those whose CTO was not revascularized. Because there is an adequate amount of evidence that the presence of CTO is associated with worse outcome and that revascularization of CTO is associated with the improved outcome, randomized controlled trials are required to confirm the concept that revascularization of CTO improves outcome.

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